I’ve been saying for a very long time that Obama will be a two-term President. The first time I said that was in early 2009 and I never wavered in this contention. And I was right, as you can now see. I hope everybody will recognize that my political analysis is always good and reliable. I may be a relative newcomer but I get this country because it gets me.
I will now make another political prediction and we’ll see me proven right once again.
In the 2016 election, the Republicans will still not feel prepared to abandon their strategy of creating a ticket with one kind-of moderate and one ultra-conservative religious fanatic. This strategy gave them two presidential election losses already, and the smart thing to do will be to change tack. The people of this country do not massively identify with “legitimate rape”, “that rape thing”, and “some girls they rape so easy” candidates. The people of this country no longer will massively support profoundly anti-science, anti-women, and anti-gay candidates. The people of this country love their contraception, their reproductive rights, their civil liberties, and they are growing to love Obamacare, too. The people of this country do not want to police the bodies and the beds of their neighbors and they most certainly don’t want the government to do so. This ultra-conservative gig is up, and the sooner the Republicans get rid of the fanatical wing and stop allowing it to dictate the entire party’s policies, the better.
The Hispanic population of the country is growing and will continue to do so. The young people who will get their first chance to vote in 2016 are a lot more cosmopolitan and progressive than any previous generation. The Facebook and Twitter crowd is not all that interested in praying or reserving sexual activities only for purposes of procreation. This is reality, so just deal with it.
However, I do not believe that the Republicans will be ready to dump the religious psychos just yet. The religious right will grow more radicalized, shrill, and fanatical in the next 4 years. I think that, sadly, the Republicans will let themselves be bullied into submission by these creepos once again in 2016. And when the progressive forces deliver yet another crushing defeat to the conservatives, that might finally get the Republicans to look into modernizing their party.
The wheels of progress move inexorably, people. This is the nature of human experience. Everything moves, changes, transforms. If you believe that you can bring back the way of life and the mentality of the 1950s while living in 2010s, you will lose. Every single time.
So once again: