A careful analysis of actual data demonstrates that:
1) There is no over-production of people with PhDs in Humanities.
2) There is no shortage of undergrads in Humanities.
3) The only problem is the substitution of tenure lines with contingent adjunct positions.
Here is a very detailed study that uses data from the field of Germanic Studies. Here is its conclusion:
What changed in 2008 was not the number of doctorates, however, but the number of TT jobs. Ph.D. production has been essentially unchanged since the late 70s (an average of 78 per year in the 80s, and an average of 75 per year in the 2000s). Nor is it the case that Ph.D. production is outstripping the growth of undergraduate enrollments; undergrad enrollments rose over 40% between 1999 and 2010.
Once again, I advance my suggestion that we heap scorn and ridicule on any program that cuts a tenure line. This is the only solution because that’s what the entire problem is.

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