The reason for the Republican win is the major improvement in the economy over the past 2 years. Republicans are notoriously horrible with the economy, so when it is the main issue on the voters’ minds (like in 2008 and 2012), they vote Democrat. But when economic worries recede (like right now, with the lowest unemployment in a very long time, good economic growth, etc) voters don’t mind bringing in the party that is hopeless on the economy.

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