Political Gaffes

Nate Silver (who is my new favorite blogger now that he has a blog of his own one can add to a blogroll) points out that the gaffes made by politicians can have zero influence on the voters even if the press explodes over them:

The first is Barack Obama’s remark at a San Francisco fundraiser about voters who “cling to guns and religion,” which was first reported by the journalist Mayhill Fowler on Apr. 11, 2008. Then-candidate Obama’s comment generated more than 2,500 news articles by the end of that month, according to a search of records at NewsLibrary.com. But it had no effect on the polls, either nationally or in Pennsylvania, which was the next state to vote in the Obama vs. Clinton Democratic primary. Instead, Hillary Clinton’s win in Pennsylvania was in line with demographic trends from earlier primaries.

What about Mitt Romney’s “47 percent” comments during the general election campaign in 2012? They barely moved the polls; there was a swing of perhaps one percentage point toward President Obama.

I don’t consider Obama’s 2008 comment to be a gaffe but one of rare instances when  a politician said something valuable and true. What’s curious, though, is that there is such an enormous gulf between what the press thinks is relevant in politics and what the voters believe is.

Might this disconnect be one of the reasons why the political process is so broken right now? Are the journalists simply failing to report things that actually matter to voters because they have no idea what those things are? Back in 2012, it was obvious to me that wasting time on Romney’s “47 percent” was a mistake. How come people who have no other job but to follow politics don’t see such obvious things?

One thought on “Political Gaffes

  1. Here’s my very arrogant thing I made recently–talking about mySELF over and over again as if anyone cared about THAT. It has no more intellectual content in it than an American woman has when combing her hair. Everything we need to know is already in the Bible!

    I really should stop pretending there is such a thing as an intellect. There may have been one at one time, but now there is no need for one, since everything is explained.

    Also, to have a view on anything isn’t right. It means one has no concern for the inarticulate and those who have been bashed by a bible until they can no longer stand up. These geezers had to learn the hard way that there’s no such thing as a self and that the devil comsumes us with our pride in the intellect.

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