The academic job market is brutal nowadays, and I see no evidence that it is likely to improve. So here is a small exercise I suggest to people who are wondering if they should do a PhD. Here are some questions you need to answer if your goal is to make a decent living and have an enjoyable life as a college professor:
1. Have you done, are you now doing, or are you planning to do a Master’s degree?
If the answer is negative, stop and go away right now. Do the Master’s, come back, and then we will talk. Right now you are like a football player who breaks his own leg before going out into the field.
And to people who are about to inform me that they did a PhD without a Master’s twenty years ago and have been happy ever since, I’ve got to say: we are not talking about 20 years ago. We are talking about 10 years from now. Please go read my posts on the collapse of the nation-state if you don’t see the difference.
If the answer is positive, please proceed.
2. Once you are in the process of getting your MA, here is what you should do. Apply only to the most famous and prestigious grad schools in the country where you plan to work. Harvard, Yale, Princeton, Brown. If they don’t accept you, forget the whole thing and go do something else.
The method I outlined here doesn’t guarantee anybody a job worthy of the name in academia. But it does cut down somewhat your chances of wasting 15 years of your life pursuing a dream that you had no chance of making come true. A PhD from Harvard doesn’t secure a tenure-track job for anybody. But it does give hope. A PhD from the University of Rimouski* doesn’t.
Sadly, if you are not good enough for Harvard as a grad student, you will not be good enough for U of Rimouski as a tenure-track professor.
If you do the Master’s, then do a PhD at Princeton or someplace comparable, manage to get at least 5 publications before getting awarded the PhD (not in any graduate or open-access journals, obviously), acquire extensive teaching experience, and don’t believe that any of the following entitles you to despise Rimouski as a prospective employer – then you will at least have a fighting chance on the job market.
*Sorry, Rimouski, I’ve been using you as my way of saying “the boondocks” for many years and I’m not ready to let go of you.