Is Brexit Good for Ukraine?

We all look at everything through our own lens (or a set of lenses, if we like to have a more complex worldview). For me, it always matters how each development will impact Ukraine. Is Brexit good for the future of the Ukrainian revolution?

The answer is no, Brexit is a big blow. It won’t be fatal but it will hurt. Brexit will be milked by Putin’s propaganda for every ounce of triumphalist, anti-European, anti-Western and anti-American (“if Europe has collapsed, the US can’t be far behind, and have you heard that Texas wants to secede*?”) gushing. 

Also, there is a high probability that Brexit will lead to the election of somebody who will not be as adamant on the subject of anti-Putin sanctions as Cameron has been. If Corbyn is elected, then it’s “hello, comrade Putin” all the way.

In terms of a larger picture, if there is no Europe as an ideal to apsire to, then what is left? Ukrainians have been making an enormous effort at transforming their country because they believe in the values of the Western civilization, in the great promise of progress, human rights, peace, and prosperity. It’s in order to be more like the idealized Europe that Ukrainians struggled to overcome barbarity and accept the Pride this year. There is a feminist movement in Ukraine that has been revived as a result of the revolution, there is a ton of great developments that look to Europe in order to find inspiration.

Brexit vote sucks for Ukraine a lot. We shall overcome but today is not a good day for teh revolution.

*Yes, Putinoids are obsessed with the possibility of Texas seceding. They seriously believe it is almost about to happen. Just like theyr seriously believed half of Ukraine would defect to Russia if given a chance.

11 thoughts on “Is Brexit Good for Ukraine?

  1. I understand the frustration with Putinist crowing, but in the final analysis Ukrainians should be going through the process for themselves and not to join some club.

    When the Warsaw pact countries were able to break out of the Soviet sphere they weren’t doing it at first with the idea of the EU (which didn’t really exist in present form yet). They were doing so to gain control of their countries and make their societies more healthy (and clearly had no idea of what hard work was ahead of them).

    The EU is an institution which had its time (and may have another time in the future) but I can’t honestly say that any new country joining at present is a good idea.

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    1. I never wanted Ukraine to join the EU and neither had most Ukrainians until Russia invaded. The Europe Ukrainians aspire to is more of a beautiful ideal than an actual organization filled with clunky bureaucratic rules, etc.

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    1. THis kind of thing makes me really, REALLY worried about Trump. People are very likely to vote to send a message, on a lark, without thinking, without considering he might win, etc. And then the day after the election, they will be like “Oh, woopsie!”

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