Clarissa's Blog

7 responses to “What’s Possible”

1. 

   cliff arroyo

   January 25, 2024

   “If Mr Joe Biden stopped sabotaging”

   What percentage of promised aid in the form of arms (in total from all countries) has actually arrived in Ukraine?

   I saw one estimate that well over a third (maybe more) of declared arms aid has never actually been delivered (and there are no prospects for them to be delivered).

   My most charitable take is that western governments realized russia can’t ‘win’ in achieving its supposed aims back in 2022 and are waiting for russians to realize this and act upon it. But it’s not a great idea to ascribe rational motivations or reactions from russia… self-aggrandizement is a hell of a drug…

   My mid-charitable take is that they take russian threats at face value and are terrified of overt russian defeat (and possible social collapse and nukes, if they even still work, falling into hands of rogue factors).

   My least-charitable take is that they’ve been corrupted by russian money or there’s kompromat that they don’t know how to counter…

   LikeLike

   Reply
   1. 

      Anonymous

      January 25, 2024

      Your mid-charitable take seems closest to the actual situation, Cliff…

      The Western powers are falling for Putin’s bluff, and are fearful that sufficient Western (mainly U.S.) aid to win the war for Ukraine would be considered a sufficient threat to Putin’s survival in Russia to provoke him into initiating escalating levels of warfare that would lead slowly but ultimately into Word War III.

      Putin is a typical dictator, desperate to hold onto power, but not insane. In all the long years of my life (1945 to the present), nuclear gitters have been a farce. No one has ever dared to touch the trigger to Armageddon, and that isn’t about to happen now.

      Dreidel

      LikeLike

      Reply
      1. 

         Anonymous

         February 18, 2024

         You don’t think that Putin could use nuclear weapons against Ukraine if Ukraine will be on the verge of taking back Crimea? If he will do so, would the West actually be prepared to directly militarily intervene against Russia?

         LikeLike

         Reply
2. 

   ed

   January 25, 2024

   Ukraine has managed to neutralize Russia’s black sea fleet. That’s a huge feat not mentioned in the news.

   Imagine what they could do with several squadron of F16s armed with modern missiles.

   LikeLiked by 1 person

   Reply
   1. 

      Clarissa

      January 25, 2024

      Absolutely. It’s an extraordinary achievement. And there can be more. Many more. If only we all took our heads out of our behinds.

      LikeLike

      Reply
3. 

   Anonymous

   February 18, 2024

   OK, I’ll bite: If Biden will massively increase US aid to Ukraine, couldn’t Russia massively increase its own spending on the war as well, possibly even up to the point of it spending 25+% of its total GDP on this war? That’s what Russia previously did during WWI before it descended into revolution.

   LikeLike

   Reply
4. 

   Anonymous

   February 18, 2024

   Clarissa, have you ever considered writing an extremely lengthy blog post responding to arguments made by this French right-winger against having the West aid Ukraine?

   https://www.philippelemoine.com/p/the-case-against-western-military/comments

   Personally, I think that his arguments are mistaken. But it would be nice to see a very smart person such as yourself clearly and effectively responding to all of his arguments here.

   LikeLike

   Reply